Global GHG emissions will remain above the level required to limit global warming to 1.5°C if low-and lower-middle-income countries continue to follow their current policies

Historical and projected aggregate GHG emissions trajectories under different scenarios, by country income group, 1990-2050

Low-income

Lower-middle-income

Upper-middle-income

High-income

Source: World Bank analysis based on historical emissions data from Climate Watch (2022) and emissions projections from the Network of Central Banks and Supervisiors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS)v.2 scenarios data. • Note: GHG = greenhouse gas; MtCO2e=metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent.

*Scenario b: If low- and lower-middle-income countries continue with current policies while the rest transition to net zero by 2050